International Transaction Journal of Engineering, Management, & Applied Sciences & Technologies

Archives

TuEngr+Logo
:: International Transaction Journal of Engineering, Management, & Applied Sciences & Technologies

http://TuEngr.com



ISSN 2228-9860
eISSN 1906-9642
CODEN: ITJEA8


FEATURE PEER-REVIEWED ARTICLE

Vol.12(11) (2021)

  • Trends and Forecasts Analysis of Insurance Industry in Russia

    Alfira Kumratova, Elena Popova (Department of Information Systems, Kuban State Agrarian University named after I.T. Trubilin, Krasnodar, RUSSIA),
    Elena Khudyakova (Department of Applied Informatics, Russian State Agrarian University Moscow Agricultural Academy named after K. A. Timiryazev, Moscow, RUSSIA),
    Igor Vasilenko (Department of Computer Technologies and Systems, Kuban State Agrarian University named after I.T. Trubilin, Krasnodar, RUSSIA),
    Natalya Orlyanskaya (Department of Information Systems and Programming, Kuban State Technological University , Krasnodar, RUSSIA).

    Disciplinary: Computer technologies, Information Systems.

    ➤ FullText

    doi: 10.14456/ITJEMAST.2021.228

    Keywords: Time series; Predictive models; Life insurance; Quasi-cycles length; Memory depth; Insurance business.

    Abstract
    The best solution is the complex use of analysis and forecast for making management decisions in the insurance business. The basis of any insurance activity is the presence, first of all, of a client interested in purchasing an insurance product. Therefore, the number of insured clients is the primary indicator of the effectiveness of the insurance company. Preparing data for analysis and then using this data as input data for predictive models is a separate preparatory stage of the study. In work, had prepared the basic time series (TS): TS data of men and women daily insured, separate daily TS by gender, and aggregated weekly TS, as well as their increments. Using the research theory of time series shows that a specific ordering of data in time makes it possible to determine or predict the subsequent value of these TS.

    Paper ID: 12A11R

    Cite this article:

    Kumratova, A., Popova, E., Khudyakova, E., Vasilenko, I., and Orlyanskaya, N. (2021). Trends and Forecasts Analysis of Insurance Industry in Russia. International Transaction Journal of Engineering, Management, & Applied Sciences & Technologies, 12(11), 12A11R, 1-8. http://doi.org/10.14456/ITJEMAST.2021.228



References

  1. RussGov. (2020). Business Laws, codes and regulations of the Russian Federation. https://legalacts.ru/doc/zakon-rf-ot-27111992-n-4015-1-o/
  2. Calmins. (2021). Results and analysis of the Russian insurance market for 2020. https://calmins.com/itogi-i-analys-strahovogo-rynka-rossii-za-2020-god/
  3. Kumratova, A., Popova, E., Khudyakova, E., Vasilenko, I., Saykinov, V. (2021). Statistics Application of the Dynamics Socio-Economic Processes: A Case of Russian Insurance Data. International Transaction Journal of Engineering, Management, & Applied Sciences & Technologies, 12(3), 12A3I, 1-9.
  4. Peters, E. (2000). Chaos and order in the capital markets. M.: World. 260-287.
  5. Perepelitsa, V.A., Kasaeva, M.D. (2002). Forecasting of a natural time series on the basis of a cellular automaton model. Modern aspects of the economy, 9(22), 201-208.
  6. Perepelitsa, V.A., Popova, E.V., Komissarova, K.A. (2007). Modeling the activity of insurance companies by methods of nonlinear dynamics. monograph (Scientific edition). Krasnodar: KubGAU. 190-197.
  7. Kumratova, A., Popova, E., Skiter, N., Klintsevich, R., Shaposhnikova, O. (2021). Socio-Economic Nonlinear Dynamics Processes for Forecast and Pre-Forecast Information Based on Time Series. International Transaction Journal of Engineering, Management, & Applied Sciences & Technologies, 12(2), 12A2R, 1-10.
  8. Kumratova, A.M., Sivkov, K.A. (2020). Methods of nonlinear dynamics: certificate of registration of a computer program RU 2016661998, 26.01.2020. Application No. 2016618249.
  9. Krichevsky, M.L. (2005). Intellectual methods in management. SPb .: Peter, 270-287.
  10. Aleshenko, V.V. (2012). Strategic planning issues: the practice of regional dimension. Problem analysis and state management design. Russ Mgt, 5(4). 24-32.
  11. Ziroyan, M. et al. (2019). Logistic Systems With Reverse For Optimization And Decision Support. Indo Am. J. P. Sci, 6(3).


Other issues:
Vol.12(12)(2021)
Vol.12(11)(2021)
Vol.12(10)(2021)
Archives




Call-for-Papers

Call-for-Scientific Papers
Call-for-Research Papers:
ITJEMAST invites you to submit high quality papers for full peer-review and possible publication in areas pertaining engineering, science, management and technology, especially interdisciplinary/cross-disciplinary/multidisciplinary subjects.

To publish your work in the next available issue, your manuscripts together with copyright transfer document signed by all authors can be submitted via email to Editor @ TuEngr.com (no space between). (please see all detail from Instructions for Authors)


Publication and peer-reviewed process:
After the peer-review process (4-10 weeks), articles will be on-line published in the available next issue. However, the International Transaction Journal of Engineering, Management, & Applied Sciences & Technologies cannot guarantee the exact publication time as the process may take longer time, subject to peer-review approval and adjustment of the submitted articles.